signal evaluation

Fundamental Law of Active Management

Grinold & Kahn's formula: IR ≈ IC × TC × √N, linking Information Ratio to signal skill, transfer coefficient, and breadth.

The Fundamental Law of Active Management, developed by Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, provides a decomposition of the key drivers of active portfolio performance:

IR ≈ IC × TC × √N

where:

Strategic implications

The square root on N means breadth has diminishing returns: doubling the number of bets improves IR by √2 ≈ 1.41×, not 2×. Improving IC or TC scales IR directly with no diminishing returns. A manager with modest IC but very high breadth (many assets, many signals) can achieve the same IR as one with exceptional IC in a concentrated portfolio. The law argues for diversification of both assets and signals.

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